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MATH 203-Is the national crime rate really going down

by | Dec 1, 2023 | Posted Questions

Statistics: Please show steps.

Is the national crime rate really going down? Some sociologists say yes! They say that the reason for the decline in crime rates in the 1980s and 1990s is demographics. It seems that the population is aging, and older people commit fewer crimes. According to the FBI and the Justice Department, 70% of all arrests are of males aged 15 to 34 years†. Suppose you are a sociologist in Rock Springs, Wyoming, and a random sample of police files showed that of37 arrests last month,24 were of males aged 15 to 34 years. Use a1% level of significance to test the claim that the population proportion of such arrests in Rock Springs is different from 70%.

(a) State the null and alternate hypotheses

H0:p = 0.7;H1:p > 0.7

H0:p ? 0.7;H1:p = 0.7

H0:p = 0 .7;H1:p < 0.7

H0:p = 0.7;H1:p ? 0.7

H0:p < 0 .7;H1:p = 0.7

(b) What sampling distribution will you use?

The standard normal, since np > 5 and nq > 5.

The Student’s t, since np < 5 and nq < 5.

The Student’s t, since np > 5 and nq > 5.

The standard normal, since np < 5 and nq < 5

What is the value of the sample test statistic? (Round your answer to two decimal places.)

(c) Find theP-value of the test statistic. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)

(d) Based on your answers in parts (a) to (c), will you reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis? Are the data statistically significant at level??

nterpret your conclusion in the context of the application.

?There is sufficient evidence at the 0.01 level to conclude that the true proportion of arrests of males aged 14 to 34 in Rock Springs differs from 70%.

There is insufficient evidence at the 0.01 level to conclude that the true proportion of arrests of males aged 14 to 34 in Rock Springs differs from 70%.

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